Friday, February 15, 2008

55-TNG Radio - John Burns 2-16-08

Bruce Norris is joined this week by builder consultant and founder of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, John Burns. Bruce and John discuss how busy John has been consulting investors and builders who have never experienced a downturn, what industries these new investors are coming from and if it’s cyclical, if builders had a chance to do it over what they might choose to do differently, land shortages, debt strategies of builders, options versus cash, land value decrease in California, portfolio deals, supply of homes the builders are currently holding, construction starts, how lending has changed the game, who the typical buyer is in 2008, the possibility of builders constructing smaller homes, if the cities like that idea, why do builders repeat the same mistakes, are those in trouble the old or new companies, Northern versus Southern California market, affordability changes in the coming years, if affordability will help the housing market, if any of the FED actions will come to the rescue, how the freezing of foreclosure won’t change anything, how interest rates might help, the California employment picture for 2008 and its effect on housing demand, recession in California, migration, presidential elections and possible tax law changes, the state of the commercial industry, commercial foreclosures in 2008, and the new loan limits proposed by the FED.

Prior to founding the Company, John Burns was at KPMG Peat Marwick for 10 years, where he was a Senior Manager in the Real Estate Consulting group. He was also a Principal and Vice President for four years at a national consulting firm, where he completed custom consulting assignments and developed several market monitoring subscription products for the 75 largest housing markets in the United States.

John Burns is a frequent speaker, and has been quoted as an expert by CNN, ABC World News Tonight, The Wall Street Journal, The Associated Press, USA Today, Bloomberg, The Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, Builder magazine, and others. He designed and authored a weekly e-mail received by more than 25,000 industry participants, and authored the U.S. Housing Markets publication. He also created and edited several highly successful market research subscription reports.

John has a M.B.A. from the University of California, Los Angeles and a B.A. in economics from Stanford University. He is also a Certified Public Accountant. He is a full member of the Urban Land Institute and a board member of the Building Industry Association.


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