Sean O'Toole of PropertyRadar Joins Bruce Norris on the Real Estate Radio Show #427

Bruce Norris is joined again this week by Sean O’Toole.  Sean is the founder and CEO of PropertyRadar.com, the only company that tracks every foreclosure in California with daily updates on all foreclosure auctions.  Sean is also experienced in flips, having done over 150 with both residential and commercial.  Using his extensive background in the software industry, he has revolutionized the foreclosure auction process as far as getting information and making it easy. Bruce and Sean discuss the affordability index, the repetitive nature of the affordability chart, people's views on good returns and interest rates, the increase in inventory according to CAR, the cycle being an anomaly, hedge funds, , and much, much more on this week's Norris Group real estate radio show and podcast.

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Sean O'Toole Joins Bruce Norris on the Real Estate Radio Show #391

Bruce Norris is joined again this week by Sean O’Toole.  Sean is the founder of PropertyRadar.com.  He began his very successful career as an entrepreneur in Silicon Valley working with people and starting up companies.  He is a personal friend, and he and Bruce have gone on trips together down to Washington D.C. to do research.  PropertyRadar.com is a big advantage to any investor or realtor who has access to it since it helps them navigate the real estate market and find things easier than you would have any other way. Bruce and Sean discuss low sales this year, credit terms and how they are not showing signs of loosening, the new programs for lower FICO scores and stated income, the impact of foreign investors in California, hedge funds and REITs, the ramifications of being below trend, and much, much more on this week's real estate radio show and podcast.







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Gary Watts Joins Bruce Norris on the Real Estate Radio Show #384

Bruce Norris is joined this week by Gary Watts.  Gary is the broker and owner of Impact Real Estate.  This is a private real estate company that provides consulting services to not only buyers, sellers, and investors, but also to companies affiliated with the real estate industry in California.  Gary is a well-known real estate economist who began his career in 1971.  Today, he and his company are called upon to advise the home industry of economic trends that will affect and effect their future impact on real estate.  He also manages investment properties that they acquire for their investors. Bruce and Gary discuss the years when real estate was something other than residence, the beginning of monitoring interest rates, sales requiring loan originations in the 1980s, sub-prime loans, the Great Depression of the real estate industry, foreclosures and trustee sales, government involvement in the appraisal business, the advantage of charts, and much, much more on this week's real estate radio show and podcast.

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I Survived Real Estate 2013 Part 3 #355

On October 18, 2013, The Norris Group proudly presented I Survived Real Estate 2013. An expert line-up of industry experts joined Bruce Norris to discuss perplexing industry trends, head-scratching legislation, and the outlook for real estate in the coming year. Over $90,000 was raised to benefit Make a Wish and St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital. In this segment, Bruce talks with panelists Christopher Thornberg, John Burns, Leslie Appleton-Young, and Sean O'Toole discussing demographics in the next ten years, the older generation owning more households, household formation, volume of sales for 2014, equity sales, underwater homeowners, the median price of distressed sales, first-time buyers in 2014, and much more on this weeks real estate radio show and podcast.

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Vice President and Chief Economist of CAR Leslie Appleton-Young Joins Bruce Norris on the Real Estate Radio Show #280

This week Bruce Norris is joined by Leslie Appleton-Young.  Leslie is vice-president and chief economist for the California Association of Realtors, a statewide trade organization with over 150,000 members dedicated to advancement of professionalism in real estate.  Leslie directs the activities of the association’s members investment group or information group.  She oversees the analysis of the housing market and broker industry trends, member communication, and membership development activities.  She also is closely involved in the association’s strategic planning efforts and is a well-known speaker in California.  Bruce and Leslie discuss the current market and how we are doing compared to past years, the increase in median prices, the supply of short sales in the market, the percentage drop from the peak of the market to the bottom in early 2009, the change in inventory in the last few months, the nothing-down loan program Bruce and Sean O'Toole discussed in Washington, what the market was like at the peak in 2007, California compared to the rest of the country, and much more on this week's real estate radio show and podcast.

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Lance Martin Joins Bruce Norris on the Real Estate Radio Show #222

This week Bruce is joined by Lance Martin. Lance has been in the real estate business for 24 years as broker/owner of Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate which serves the Inland Empire. Lance is an expert in residential REO foreclosure sales.

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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #173

This week Bruce Norris is joined by Chief Economist with the California Association of Realtors, Leslie Appleton-Young.

Bruce and Leslie discuss the the history and current situation of the California media real estate price metric, looking back at problems leading up to the crash, strategic defaults, new deed-in-lieu of foreclosure program, distressed sales to regular sales ratios, real estate bulk buys, the state of the construction industry and building, demographics, and unemployment impacts.

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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #172

This week Bruce Norris is joined by Chief Economist with the California Association of Realtors, Leslie Appleton-Young.

Bruce and Leslie discuss the current market, price ranges that have stabilized, government intervention, the current real estate market and what to expect his year, and much more.

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Joel Singer of CAR #78

Bruce Norris is joined this week by Executive Vice President for the California Association of Realtors, Joel Singer. Joel will also be a panelist at the I Survived Real Estate 2008 event. Bruce and Joel discuss how financing helped the huge California boom, the psychology of demand, the trade-up market, cheap money, lending standards, the last boom markets, down payments in last cycles, no documentation loans in this cycle, if lenders compensated too far the other way, lending practices today, the ease of borrowing, the long boom and the consumer forgetting about risk, home ownership for those that can afford it, speculation throughout the system, putting blame on certain groups, the current finance market, FHA, Fannie, and Freddie, seller financing in a down market, simple assumptions of the past, the unlikely chance it will come back, the Wellencamp Wars being phased out by the Garn-St Germain Act, the 203k loan program, the Nehemiah Program, why having skin-in-the-game is required by lenders, FHA loan limits and if they will be permanent, inventory levels in California, what makes a balanced market, sales activity up, if declining in inventory is healthy or if it means retail consumers are pulling their homes off the market, what happened to the median price and why it got hit so hard, the risk of people walking away, the different ways of rescuing people and their homes, the unintended consequences of government fixes, the market not being in full recovery mode just yet. Please see isurvived2008.com.

C.A.R. Executive Vice President Joel Singer has held the Association’s top staff position since November 1989 after serving as C.A.R.’s chief economist and heading the Association’s public affairs department. Singer was instrumental in developing Real Estate Business Services Inc. (REBS), C.A.R.’s for-profit subsidiary, and serves as its president. He also is president and chief executive officer of RE FormsNet LLC. Singer joined C.A.R. in 1978.

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Real Estate Economist Gary Watts #57

Bruce Norris and economist Gary Watts of Impact Real Estate continue their conversation from last week. This week they discuss when this current real estate downturn began, what statistic told us we were headed into a downturn, if Southern California is different from the rest of California, what percentage of the market was second home purchases, what has changed in the lending industry, the Federal Reserve and why they waited so long to do anything about the lending troubles, the new rules of being a lender, how certain minority groups stand to be hit hardest and how it happened, Bruce and Gary’s differing opinion on affordability, resets in 2008, lenders stalling on resets, if banks can truly be proactive and what choices they have in dealing with delinquent borrowers, due-on-sale clause, the media misleading the public on foreclosure rates, how the media’s lack of experience and understanding of the topics lead to bad reporting, press and its impact on real estate in an up market, consumers and attention paid to news articles, Orange County foreclosures, what cities are most affected, did builders overbuild in Orange County, how builders make mistakes, state-wide foreclosures and the never-before-seen sales ratio for Southern California, forecasting in 2008, why California wins migration, and how some areas in California are almost ready to cash flow.

Gary Watts has long been recognized as a forecasting expert by the real estate industry. His long-term analysis has also drawn the attention of the media due to his consistent accuracy. His Economic Outlook has been spotlighted in regional newspapers, including the Orange County Register and the Los Angeles Times. He has been seen on the PBS TV program Real Orange, he has been heard on the radio at KNX Money Talk and was featured in Fortune magazine. He holds a degree in economics with advanced studies in psychology from California State University at Sacramento. Gary's economic forecast and lecture notes are among the information pieces most widely circulated by real estate agents in Orange County. Gary's last speaking season drew over 17,000 real estate agents. His talks are also available in DVD and an English or Spanish CD format

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Real Estate Economist Gary Watts #56

Bruce Norris is joined this week by economist Gary Watts. Bruce and Gary discuss Gary’s long history of forecasting in California, what surprised him in 2007, how the financing industry put the breaks on the low and high end inventory in California, psychology playing a role in the California real estate market, how this cycle was different from previous cycles, renting versus buying in the mind of a buyer, how much of the loan pool is subprime, how much of the subprime is really a problem, collateralized debt and the mess it has created, FHA and VA loans, how the new loan limits for FHA will hopefully help, how the change might hurt the median price, pent-up demand in certain parts of California, who make up these new buyers, the FED and the solutions they’ve tried to implement, how freezing the subprime might help or hurt the market, foreign markets and lending practices, which foreign country buys the most real estate in the United States, foreigners betting on a short-term weak dollar and a good potential for a rebound, and how the election could effect real estate.

Gary Watts has long been recognized as a forecasting expert by the real estate industry. His long-term analysis has also drawn the attention of the media due to his consistent accuracy. His Economic Outlook has been spotlighted in regional newspapers, including the Orange County Register and the Los Angeles Times. He has been seen on the PBS TV program Real Orange, he has been heard on the radio at KNX Money Talk and was featured in Fortune magazine. He holds a degree in economics with advanced studies in psychology from California State University at Sacramento. Gary's economic forecast and lecture notes are among the information pieces most widely circulated by real estate agents in Orange County. Gary's last speaking season drew over 17,000 real estate agents. His talks are also available in DVD and an English or Spanish CD format

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John Burns of John Burns Real Estate Consulting #55

Bruce Norris is joined this week by builder consultant and founder of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, John Burns. Bruce and John discuss how busy John has been consulting investors and builders who have never experienced a downturn, what industries these new investors are coming from and if it’s cyclical, if builders had a chance to do it over what they might choose to do differently, land shortages, debt strategies of builders, options versus cash, land value decrease in California, portfolio deals, supply of homes the builders are currently holding, construction starts, how lending has changed the game, who the typical buyer is in 2008, the possibility of builders constructing smaller homes, if the cities like that idea, why do builders repeat the same mistakes, are those in trouble the old or new companies, Northern versus Southern California market, affordability changes in the coming years, if affordability will help the housing market, if any of the FED actions will come to the rescue, how the freezing of foreclosure won’t change anything, how interest rates might help, the California employment picture for 2008 and its effect on housing demand, recession in California, migration, presidential elections and possible tax law changes, the state of the commercial industry, commercial foreclosures in 2008, and the new loan limits proposed by the FED.

Prior to founding the Company, John Burns was at KPMG Peat Marwick for 10 years, where he was a Senior Manager in the Real Estate Consulting group. He was also a Principal and Vice President for four years at a national consulting firm, where he completed custom consulting assignments and developed several market monitoring subscription products for the 75 largest housing markets in the United States.

John Burns is a frequent speaker, and has been quoted as an expert by CNN, ABC World News Tonight, The Wall Street Journal, The Associated Press, USA Today, Bloomberg, The Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, Builder magazine, and others. He designed and authored a weekly e-mail received by more than 25,000 industry participants, and authored the U.S. Housing Markets publication. He also created and edited several highly successful market research subscription reports.

John has a M.B.A. from the University of California, Los Angeles and a B.A. in economics from Stanford University. He is also a Certified Public Accountant. He is a full member of the Urban Land Institute and a board member of the Building Industry Association.

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Mark Kiesel of PIMCO #54

This week Bruce Norris is joined by Executive Vice President of PIMCO, Mark Kiesel. PIMCO is one of the largest specialty fixed income managers in the world, with $746.3 billion in assets under management and more than 900 employees in offices globally. Bruce and Mark talk about the strategies of PIMCO going forward into 2008, how PIMCO is more defensive on certain products in 2008, bonds compared to stocks, why bonds instead of stocks, muni bonds, what happens when cities go bankrupt, corporate bonds markets in 2007 and its growth, how bonds fair in recessions, PIMCO’s position on mortgages and housing, PIMCO’s position on housing price drops, AAA ratings and subprime, credit cycles compared to the economy, emerging market stocks, good areas for investment, what happens when ratings are lowered from AAA, how lenders will have to adjust, three major obstacles that could end our positive business cycle, the root of real estate price declines, housing inventory nation wide, rate resets in 2008-2009, increases in real estate vacancy, the shell-shocked consumer, corporate profits in 2008, hiring and unemployment, how it won’t be as bad as 2000-2001, and whether consumers have real wealth or just more stuff.

Mr. Kiesel is an Executive Vice President, generalist portfolio manager, and a senior member of PIMCO's investment strategy and portfolio management group. He also heads the investment-grade corporate desk and manages corporate portfolios for the firm. Previously, Mr. Kiesel served as PIMCO's head of equity derivatives and as a senior credit analyst. Mr. Kiesel joined PIMCO in 1996, previously having been associated with the sales and trading divisions of Merrill Lynch and JP Morgan. He has twelve years of investment experience and holds a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of Michigan and an MBA in finance, economics and international business from the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business.

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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #53

This week Bruce Norris is joined once again by Chief Economist for The California Association of Realtors, Leslie Appleton-Young. Bruce and Leslie discuss how lenders are exiting existing properties differently this cycle, feedback from frustrated REO agents, a due on sale moratorium, why adjustments in the lending industry has to change, short sales and how lenders aren’t cooperating, how lender cooperation might change in 2008, Realtors and auctions in 2008, the California budget deficit and its effect on real estate, possible changes with Proposition 13, if California is losing migration, the California rental market, contraction in employment in the real estate industry, how buyers are cautious, the demanding buyer, home ownership as an investment, the willingness for buyers to jump in 2008, how 25%-50% of markets were investors in some markets in recent history, 2007 versus 2008 and how transactions will bottom, C.A.R. predicting further declines in transactions, mortgage resets in 2008, how 2009 will be a better year, and possible solutions and their unintended consequences.

Leslie Appleton-Young is Vice President and Chief Economist for the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.), a statewide trade organization with over 195,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate.

Mrs. Appleton-Young directs the activities of the Association's Member Information Group. She oversees the analysis of housing market and brokerage industry trends, member communications, and membership development activities. She is also closely involved in the Association's strategic planning efforts and is a well-known speaker in California’s real estate community.

Before joining C.A.R. in 1984, Leslie Appleton-Young was a consultant with Telesis Inc. in Rhode Island. She also spent several years working as a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and as an instructor at the University of Pennsylvania.

Mrs. Appleton-Young earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of California, Berkeley, and her Masters from the University of Pennsylvania.

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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #52

This week Bruce Norris is joined by Chief Economist for The California Association of Realtors, Leslie Appleton-Young. Bruce and Leslie discuss how people join C.A.R, how the market has changed and things unexpected in the market, jumbo market problems, how Realtors audiences have changed as far as what they are looking for from C.A.R., how Realtors are seeking strategies and how to deal with unrealistic sellers, total membership during the boom, the wait-and-see attitude on membership numbers but how so far they are stronger than expected, what successful agents did to make 2007 work, how to profit in 2008, California short sales and California REOs, how the California commercial real estate market is fairing, how finding a niche is important, the First Time Buyer Fair and a partnership with the Los Angeles Times, who becomes the dominate buyers in a down market, how median home prices only recently went down, the Case Schiller index, how to truly figure out market value, why it’s important not to follow the market down and price correctly off the bat, California REO sales vs. expected California retail sales in 2008, reason why lenders haven’t adjusted HELOCs, variability by market and how the Inland Empire has more inventory, and why C.A.R. will stick with their newer First-Time Buyer Affordability Index.

Leslie Appleton-Young is Vice President and Chief Economist for the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.), a statewide trade organization with over 195,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate.

Mrs. Appleton-Young directs the activities of the Association's Member Information Group. She oversees the analysis of housing market and brokerage industry trends, member communications, and membership development activities. She is also closely involved in the Association's strategic planning efforts and is a well-known speaker in California’s real estate community.

Before joining C.A.R. in 1984, Leslie Appleton-Young was a consultant with Telesis Inc. in Rhode Island. She also spent several years working as a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and as an instructor at the University of Pennsylvania.

Mrs. Appleton-Young earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of California, Berkeley, and her Masters from the University of Pennsylvania.

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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #14

Join Bruce and California Association of Realtors chief economist Leslie Appleton-Young again as they further discuss the market. Leslie rates the most important factors she considers when forecasting the California real estate market.

Leslie Appleton-Young is Vice President and Chief Economist for the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.), a statewide trade organization with over 195,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate.

Mrs. Appleton-Young directs the activities of the Association's Member Information Group. She oversees the analysis of housing market and brokerage industry trends, member communications, and membership development activities. She is also closely involved in the Association's strategic planning efforts and is a well-known speaker in California’s real estate community.

Before joining C.A.R. in 1984, Leslie Appleton-Young was a consultant with Telesis Inc. in Rhode Island. She also spent several years working as a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and as an instructor at the University of Pennsylvania.

Mrs. Appleton-Young earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of California, Berkeley, and her Masters from the University of Pennsylvania.
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Leslie Appleton-Young of CAR #13

Join Bruce and California Association of Realtors chief economist Leslie Appleton-Young as they discuss C.A.R.s expanding membership, how the Internet has changed the business, and where the California market is headed. Will membership decline in the coming market? And what are "DNA Sales" Leslie?

Leslie Appleton-Young is Vice President and Chief Economist for the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.), a statewide trade organization with over 195,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate.

Mrs. Appleton-Young directs the activities of the Association's Member Information Group. She oversees the analysis of housing market and brokerage industry trends, member communications, and membership development activities. She is also closely involved in the Association's strategic planning efforts and is a well-known speaker in California’s real estate community.

Before joining C.A.R. in 1984, Leslie Appleton-Young was a consultant with Telesis Inc. in Rhode Island. She also spent several years working as a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and as an instructor at the University of Pennsylvania.

Mrs. Appleton-Young earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of California, Berkeley, and her Masters from the University of Pennsylvania.

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